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Vista Energy (VIST · NYSE / BMV)

Large independent — HQ Argentina. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category Large independentRegion Lat. AmericaCEO Miguel Galuccio (2018)Jurisdiction risk High (79)

Overview

Fastest-growing Vaca Muerta pure-play: Bajada del Palo Oeste/Este core, plus Aguada Federal and Bandurria Norte; ~120 kboe/d and scaling toward ~150, ~85% oil; benefits from the Vaca Muerta Sur export pipeline and RIGI incentives.

Conservative balance sheet (~1.1x net debt/EBITDA) funds an aggressive multi-rig drilling program; heavy growth capex keeps FCF thin near-term. Key flags: Argentina FX/export & capital-control risk, single-basin concentration, oil-price sensitivity.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$7.8bn
Enterprise value
$11.1bn
EV / EBITDA
6.9x
P / E
10.8x
FCF yield
-8.5%
Dividend yield
0.0%
ROACE
20%
Debt / equity
106%
Net debt / EBITDA
2.0x
EV / reserves
$18.88/boe
EV / flowing
$96k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$-0.7bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 6.9x is above the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of -8.5% is lower than the 6.5% median, and at $18.88/boe of proved reserves it is richer than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, Vista Energy scores 49/100, strongest on growth (94/100). Sub-scores: value 30, quality 82, growth 94, risk 82 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

Vista Energy holds approximately 0.59 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 115 thousand boe/d (89% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 14.0 years. Break-even: ~$45 (WTI/Brent breakeven) — Low-cost Vaca Muerta shale oil; strong FCF above ~$45.

Net asset value (public-source)

For Vista Energy, no SEC standardized measure is disclosed (non-US filer or listed NOC), so a public-source proved-NAV floor is not computable from US filings. See the interactive screener's NAV tab for peers where an SEC figure exists.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

79 /100
High jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Argentina97%80FX controls, export taxes, macro instability despite Vaca Muerta upside.
Mexico3%55Pemex financial stress, reversal of energy reform, state control.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
Bajada del Palo OesteArgentinaShale oilcore producing block
Bajada del Palo EsteArgentinaShale oildevelopment
Aguada Federal / Bandurria NorteArgentinaShale oilgrowth blocks
Aguada de la ArenaArgentinaShale oilacquired 2024/25
Vaca Muerta Sur pipelineArgentinaMidstreamexport capacity
Mexico legacyMexicoOilsmall conventional
Coiron AmargoArgentinaShale oildevelopment
La Amarga Chica areaArgentinaShale oilacreage

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)41505885115
Proved reserves (bnboe)0.160.210.260.340.59
Revenue ($bn)0.61.01.21.52.5
EBITDA ($bn)0.30.70.81.01.6
Net income ($bn)0.10.30.40.50.7
Free cash flow ($bn)-0.10.10.1-0.2-0.7

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Peer companies — Large independent

COP · ConocoPhillipsEOG · EOG ResourcesOXY · Occidental PetroleumDVN · Devon EnergyWDS · Woodside Energy1605.T · InpexAKRBP · Aker BPPTTEP · PTT E&POVV · OvintivSTO · SantosWCP · Whitecap ResourcesAPA · APA CorporationVAR · Var EnergiPRIO3 · PRIO S.A.

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare VIST against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com