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Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET · TSX / NYSE)

Large independent — HQ Canada. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category Large independentRegion N. AmericaCEO Dion Hatcher (2022)Jurisdiction risk Low (11)

Overview

Vermilion is an international, gas-weighted E&P headquartered in Calgary running a two-pillar strategy: a scaled Canadian Deep Basin (Alberta) growth engine — materially expanded by the ~C$1.1bn Westbrick Energy acquisition (closed 2025, ~50 mboe/d) — alongside a differentiated European gas and international oil portfolio (Netherlands, Germany, Ireland, France, Croatia, Australia) that captures premium TTF/Brent-linked pricing.

FY2025 production stepped up to ~124 mboe/d on the Westbrick deal, but GAAP results were a net loss (~C$654m) driven by non-cash impairments and softer European gas prices; management concurrently high-graded the portfolio (divesting US and SE Saskatchewan assets) and prioritized debt reduction while maintaining the modest dividend (~3.4% yield).

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$1.4bn
Enterprise value
$2.4bn
EV / EBITDA
3.7x
P / E
n/m
FCF yield
14.6%
Dividend yield
4.1%
ROACE
6%
Debt / equity
64%
Net debt / EBITDA
1.4x
EV / reserves
$6.39/boe
EV / flowing
$20k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$0.2bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 3.7x is below the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of 14.6% is higher than the 6.5% median, and at $6.39/boe of proved reserves it is cheaper than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, Vermilion Energy Inc. scores 54/100, strongest on valuation (74/100). Sub-scores: value 74, quality 31, growth 39, risk 41 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

Vermilion Energy Inc. holds approximately 0.37 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 120 thousand boe/d (35% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 8.4 years. Break-even: ~$45 (corporate FCF breakeven) — Corporate FCF breakeven ~US$45-50/bbl WTI-equivalent including the base dividend and sustaining capital; premium European gas (TTF) and Brent-linked international oil materially lower the effective corporate breakeven versus North American gas peers.

Net asset value (public-source)

For Vermilion Energy Inc., no SEC standardized measure is disclosed (non-US filer or listed NOC), so a public-source proved-NAV floor is not computable from US filings. See the interactive screener's NAV tab for peers where an SEC figure exists.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

11 /100
Low jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Canada65%8Stable; pipeline egress constraints, oil-sands emissions policy.
France9%20Stable; domestic upstream ban, majors operate abroad.
Netherlands6%9Stable; Groningen shut-in, phase-down policy.
Australia6%10Stable; rising carbon/PRRT tax scrutiny and approvals delays.
Germany5%14Stable; minimal upstream, energy-transition policy pressure.
Ireland5%4Stable; exploration ban, negligible production.
Other4%50diversified/unspecified exposure — universe-average proxy
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
Deep Basin (Alberta)CanadaGas / condensateCore growth engine; scaled via Westbrick 2025 (~50 mboe/d added)
Mannville / West Central ABCanadaOil / liquidsLegacy Canadian light & heavy oil, short-cycle
Netherlands onshore gasNetherlandsGasOnshore gas; premium TTF pricing
Germany onshoreGermanyGas / oilOnshore gas and oil with exploration upside
CorribIrelandGasOperated offshore gas field; premium European pricing
Aquitaine & Paris BasinFranceOilLargest onshore oil producer in France; Brent-linked
WandooAustraliaOilOffshore oil platform (Western Australia), Brent-linked
Croatia / Central EuropeCroatiaGasExploration & appraisal, gas-focused

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)85858284120
Proved reserves (bnboe)0.280.280.250.250.37
Revenue ($bn)1.62.71.61.21.2
EBITDA ($bn)0.81.40.60.50.6
Net income ($bn)0.81.0-0.2-0.0-0.6
Free cash flow ($bn)0.30.90.30.20.2

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Peer companies — Large independent

COP · ConocoPhillipsEOG · EOG ResourcesOXY · Occidental PetroleumDVN · Devon EnergyWDS · Woodside Energy1605.T · InpexAKRBP · Aker BPPTTEP · PTT E&POVV · OvintivSTO · SantosWCP · Whitecap ResourcesAPA · APA CorporationVAR · Var EnergiPRIO3 · PRIO S.A.

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare VET against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com