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Seplat Energy (SEPLAT · NGX / LSE)

Large independent — HQ Nigeria. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category Large independentRegion AfricaCEO Roger Brown (2020)Jurisdiction risk High (89)

Overview

Nigeria's largest indigenous independent. The late-2024 acquisition of Mobil Producing Nigeria (MPNU) from ExxonMobil roughly doubled output to ~130-140 kboe/d and lifted 1P reserves toward ~0.9 bnboe, transforming Seplat into a diversified onshore + shallow-water oil producer with a growing domestic gas processing business.

FY2025 revenue jumped ~144% to $2.73bn with EBITDA of ~$1.2bn and free cash flow near $0.9bn, funding a high dividend (yield ~4%). Key overhangs are concentrated Nigeria risk, MPNU integration/decommissioning liabilities, and a high effective tax rate.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$3.9bn
Enterprise value
$4.5bn
EV / EBITDA
3.5x
P / E
24.1x
FCF yield
23.3%
Dividend yield
4.2%
ROACE
12%
Debt / equity
55%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.5x
EV / reserves
$4.53/boe
EV / flowing
$34k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$0.9bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 3.5x is below the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of 23.3% is higher than the 6.5% median, and at $4.53/boe of proved reserves it is cheaper than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, Seplat Energy scores 59/100, strongest on growth (89/100). Sub-scores: value 69, quality 66, growth 89, risk 75 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

Seplat Energy holds approximately 1 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 132 thousand boe/d (67% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 20.8 years. Break-even: ~$35 (Brent breakeven) — Low-cost onshore/shallow-water Niger Delta barrels; opex ~$9-10/boe supports dividend cover well below prevailing Brent.

Net asset value (public-source)

For Seplat Energy, no SEC standardized measure is disclosed (non-US filer or listed NOC), so a public-source proved-NAV floor is not computable from US filings. See the interactive screener's NAV tab for peers where an SEC figure exists.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

89 /100
High jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Nigeria100%89Theft/sabotage, subsidy reform, PIA transition, security.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
AssetCountryTypenote
MPNU (OML 67/68/70/104)NigeriaOffshore oil/gasEx-ExxonMobil shallow-water assets acquired Dec 2024; core of doubled output
OML 4 / 38 / 41NigeriaOnshore oil/gasLegacy Shell JV blocks; original Seplat production hub (Oben, Sapele)
ANOH gas plantNigeriaGas processing300 MMscf/d midstream JV with NGC/NNPC; flagship domestic gas project
Oben gas plantNigeriaGas processingCore domestic gas supply hub feeding Nigerian power sector
OML 40 (Elcrest)NigeriaOnshore oil40% Seplat-affiliated JV; Gbetiokun and Opuama fields
OML 53 / Ohaji SouthNigeriaOnshore gasGas development feeding ANOH
Sapele integrated hubNigeriaOil + gasCombined oil handling and gas processing facilities

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)48504850132
Proved reserves (bnboe)0.490.490.500.891.00
Revenue ($bn)0.70.91.11.12.7
EBITDA ($bn)0.40.50.60.61.3
Net income ($bn)0.10.10.10.10.2
Free cash flow ($bn)0.20.30.30.10.9

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Peer companies — Large independent

COP · ConocoPhillipsEOG · EOG ResourcesOXY · Occidental PetroleumDVN · Devon EnergyWDS · Woodside Energy1605.T · InpexAKRBP · Aker BPPTTEP · PTT E&POVV · OvintivSTO · SantosWCP · Whitecap ResourcesAPA · APA CorporationVAR · Var EnergiPRIO3 · PRIO S.A.

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare SEPLAT against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com