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Medco Energi (MEDC · Jakarta)

Large independent — HQ Indonesia. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category Large independentRegion Asia-PacificCEO Roberto Lorato (2018)Jurisdiction risk Med (52)

Overview

Indonesia's largest listed independent E&P (~145 mboe/d, gas-weighted), built through the 2019 Ophir and 2022 Corridor (ex-ConocoPhillips) acquisitions: core assets are South Sumatra Corridor gas, offshore South Natuna Sea Block B, and Senoro (Donggi-Senoro LNG) in Indonesia, plus oil in Oman (Karim/Block 56), Yemen (Block 9) and Thailand (Bualuang). It also runs Medco Power (~3 GW gross IPP incl. Sarulla geothermal).

The defining feature is a large non-E&P asset: Medco holds roughly a 20% stake in Amman Mineral (AMMN), owner of the Batu Hijau copper-gold mine, one of Indonesia's most valuable listed companies. That stake is carried by the equity method and its market value can exceed Medco's own market cap, so the shares trade on both oil & gas cash flow and a swing mining call, with a wide sum-of-parts discount; leverage (~$3bn net debt) remains the main balance-sheet watch item.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$1.8bn
Enterprise value
$4.8bn
EV / EBITDA
3.8x
P / E
18.2x
FCF yield
25.8%
Dividend yield
4.5%
ROACE
10%
Debt / equity
146%
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4x
EV / reserves
$12.38/boe
EV / flowing
$31k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$0.5bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 3.8x is below the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of 25.8% is higher than the 6.5% median, and at $12.38/boe of proved reserves it is cheaper than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, Medco Energi scores 48/100, strongest on growth (78/100). Sub-scores: value 65, quality 37, growth 78, risk 75 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

Medco Energi holds approximately 0.39 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 156 thousand boe/d (28% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 6.8 years. Break-even: ~$40 (Brent FCF breakeven) — Gas-heavy portfolio with substantial take-or-pay/priced gas contracts (Corridor, Senoro, South Natuna to Singapore/domestic) plus low-cost Oman/Thailand oil gives a corporate cash breakeven in roughly the low-$40s Brent; high fixed gas revenue cushions oil-price swings but heavy interest cost keeps the breakeven above pure-play upstream peers.

Net asset value (public-source)

For Medco Energi, no SEC standardized measure is disclosed (non-US filer or listed NOC), so a public-source proved-NAV floor is not computable from US filings. See the interactive screener's NAV tab for peers where an SEC figure exists.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

52 /100
Medium jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Indonesia72%51Gross-split PSCs, resource nationalism, declining oil output.
Oman15%41Stable Gulf; mature fields, EOR-dependent, fiscal reform.
Thailand8%55Stable output; mature Gulf fields, periodic political unrest.
Yemen5%99Civil war, force majeure, blocked exports, no functioning regime.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
Corridor BlockIndonesiaGasCore South Sumatra gas; domestic + Singapore sales, acquired from ConocoPhillips 2022
South Natuna Sea Block BIndonesiaOil & gasOffshore Natuna oil and gas; gas piped to Singapore/Batam
Senoro / Donggi-Senoro LNGIndonesiaGas / LNGCentral Sulawesi gas feeding the Donggi-Senoro LNG plant
Karim Small Fields (Block 56)OmanOilOnshore Oman oil production/service contract
Block 9 (Malik)YemenOilOnshore Yemen oil; elevated country risk
BualuangThailandOilOffshore Gulf of Thailand oil field (from Ophir acquisition)
Medco PowerIndonesiaPower (IPP)~3 GW gross incl. Sarulla geothermal, gas and solar
Amman Mineral (AMMN) stakeIndonesiaMining (copper/gold)~20% stake in Batu Hijau copper-gold; value can exceed Medco's own market cap

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)96162161147156
Proved reserves (bnboe)0.240.330.340.330.39
Revenue ($bn)1.22.32.22.42.4
EBITDA ($bn)0.61.51.01.11.3
Net income ($bn)0.10.50.30.40.1
Free cash flow ($bn)0.10.60.50.30.5

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Peer companies — Large independent

COP · ConocoPhillipsEOG · EOG ResourcesOXY · Occidental PetroleumDVN · Devon EnergyWDS · Woodside Energy1605.T · InpexAKRBP · Aker BPPTTEP · PTT E&POVV · OvintivSTO · SantosWCP · Whitecap ResourcesAPA · APA CorporationVAR · Var EnergiPRIO3 · PRIO S.A.

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare MEDC against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com