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International Petroleum Corporation (IPCO · TSX)

Large independent — HQ Canada. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category Large independentRegion N. AmericaCEO William Lundin (2023)Jurisdiction risk Low (11)

Overview

Lundin-family-controlled international independent anchored by low-decline Canadian assets (Onion Lake Thermal heavy oil, Suffield gas/oil) plus offshore Malaysia (Bertam) and onshore France, generating ~45 kboe/d and a 31-year reserve life index.

FY2025 was the peak-investment year for Blackrod Phase 1 SAGD oil sands (first oil Q3 2026), which flipped IPC to ~$0.48bn net debt and negative FCF; management continues aggressive buybacks (77M+ shares / $600M+ returned since inception) and guides to $1-2bn cumulative FCF 2026-2030.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$2.5bn
Enterprise value
$3.0bn
EV / EBITDA
12.4x
P / E
87.6x
FCF yield
-6.0%
Dividend yield
0.0%
ROACE
4%
Debt / equity
53%
Net debt / EBITDA
2.0x
EV / reserves
$8.44/boe
EV / flowing
$67k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$-0.1bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 12.4x is above the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of -6.0% is lower than the 6.5% median, and at $8.44/boe of proved reserves it is cheaper than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, International Petroleum Corporation scores 38/100, strongest on safety (57/100). Sub-scores: value 19, quality 43, growth 38, risk 43 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

International Petroleum Corporation holds approximately 0.36 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 45 thousand boe/d (67% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 21.8 years. Break-even: ~$40 (Brent FCF breakeven) — Low-decline base (Onion Lake Thermal, Suffield gas, Bertam, France) with opex ~$18-20/boe sustains free cash flow to roughly the low-$40s Brent; post-Blackrod the corporate breakeven falls further as high-margin SAGD barrels come online.

Net asset value (public-source)

For International Petroleum Corporation, no SEC standardized measure is disclosed (non-US filer or listed NOC), so a public-source proved-NAV floor is not computable from US filings. See the interactive screener's NAV tab for peers where an SEC figure exists.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

11 /100
Low jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Canada83%8Stable; pipeline egress constraints, oil-sands emissions policy.
France9%20Stable; domestic upstream ban, majors operate abroad.
Malaysia8%36Stable NOC-led PSCs; Petronas dominance, South China Sea claims.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
Onion Lake ThermalCanadaThermal heavy oilCore producing asset; ~23.6 kbopd heavy crude, low decline
Blackrod Phase 1CanadaSAGD oil sandsFlagship growth project; first oil Q3 2026, long-plateau bitumen
SuffieldCanadaGas + conventional oilLarge shallow gas plus oil; bulk of the ~33% gas cut
FergusonCanadaConventional oilSouthern Alberta light/medium oil, stable cash flow
BertamMalaysiaOffshore oilMature FPSO-based offshore field, in decline
Paris Basin (Villeperdue et al.)FranceOnshore oilLegacy onshore light oil, low opex
Blackrod future phasesCanadaSAGD oil sandsLarge contingent resource upside (~1.2 Bboe best-estimate)

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)4649514745
Proved reserves (bnboe)0.200.240.280.320.36
Revenue ($bn)0.61.10.80.70.7
EBITDA ($bn)0.30.60.30.30.2
Net income ($bn)0.10.30.20.10.0
Free cash flow ($bn)0.20.40.0-0.1-0.1

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Peer companies — Large independent

COP · ConocoPhillipsEOG · EOG ResourcesOXY · Occidental PetroleumDVN · Devon EnergyWDS · Woodside Energy1605.T · InpexAKRBP · Aker BPPTTEP · PTT E&POVV · OvintivSTO · SantosWCP · Whitecap ResourcesAPA · APA CorporationVAR · Var EnergiPRIO3 · PRIO S.A.

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare IPCO against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com