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Screening universe › Large independent › 1605.T

Inpex (1605.T · Tokyo)

Large independent — HQ Japan. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category Large independentRegion Asia-PacificCEO Takayuki Ueda (2018)Jurisdiction risk Low (24)

Overview

LNG-heavy: operator of Ichthys LNG (Australia, ~66%, ~8.9 Mtpa), minority in Prelude FLNG, developing Abadi/Masela (Indonesia), Kashagan (Kazakhstan), ADMA/Lower Zakum (UAE/ADNOC), and Japan domestic gas; growing renewables/hydrogen/ammonia and CCS.

Strong balance sheet (net debt/EBITDA <0.5x); progressive dividend plus buybacks; METI golden share and Japanese energy-security mandate shape governance. Flags: single-asset concentration in Ichthys, long-delayed Abadi, FX translation, Kashagan risk.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$24.8bn
Enterprise value
$33.1bn
EV / EBITDA
3.7x
P / E
9.5x
FCF yield
10.5%
Dividend yield
3.0%
ROACE
6%
Debt / equity
25%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.7x
EV / reserves
$6.02/boe
EV / flowing
$52k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$2.6bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 3.7x is below the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of 10.5% is higher than the 6.5% median, and at $6.02/boe of proved reserves it is cheaper than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, Inpex scores 64/100, strongest on valuation (70/100). Sub-scores: value 70, quality 62, growth 57, risk 38 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

Inpex holds approximately 5.5 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 638 thousand boe/d (62% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 23.6 years. Break-even: ~$40 (Brent breakeven) — Portfolio ~$35-40/bbl Brent; LNG revenue largely oil-price-linked; dividend breakeven ~$40-45.

Net asset value (public-source)

For Inpex, no SEC standardized measure is disclosed (non-US filer or listed NOC), so a public-source proved-NAV floor is not computable from US filings. See the interactive screener's NAV tab for peers where an SEC figure exists.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

24 /100
Low jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Australia40%10Stable; rising carbon/PRRT tax scrutiny and approvals delays.
UAE / Middle East20%26Stable; ADNOC-led concessions, limited foreign equity share.
Japan15%7Stable; import-dependent, no material upstream.
Kazakhstan10%64Export-route (CPC) dependence on Russia, contract disputes.
Indonesia8%51Gross-split PSCs, resource nationalism, declining oil output.
Other7%50diversified/unspecified exposure — universe-average proxy
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
Ichthys LNGAustraliaLNGoperator ~66%, flagship
Prelude FLNGAustraliaLNGminority
Abadi / MaselaIndonesiaGas/LNGdevelopment
KashaganKazakhstanOilminority
ADMA / Lower ZakumUAEOffshore oilADNOC concessions
Japan domesticJapanGasdomestic supply
West BakrEgyptOilonshore
Iraq (Block 10)IraqOilexploration/appraisal

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)555585610635638
Proved reserves (bnboe)5.605.505.505.505.50
Revenue ($bn)8.013.516.515.513.2
EBITDA ($bn)4.28.59.58.58.9
Net income ($bn)2.24.65.13.92.6
Free cash flow ($bn)1.23.23.52.82.6

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Peer companies — Large independent

COP · ConocoPhillipsEOG · EOG ResourcesOXY · Occidental PetroleumDVN · Devon EnergyWDS · Woodside EnergyAKRBP · Aker BPPTTEP · PTT E&POVV · OvintivSTO · SantosWCP · Whitecap ResourcesAPA · APA CorporationVAR · Var EnergiPRIO3 · PRIO S.A.SM · SM Energy Company

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare 1605.T against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com