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Pampa Energia (PAM · NYSE)

Integrated — HQ Argentina. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category IntegratedRegion Lat. AmericaCEO Gustavo Mariani (2016)Jurisdiction risk High (80)

Overview

Pampa Energia is Argentina's largest independent integrated energy company, with four pillars: a growing Vaca Muerta upstream business (predominantly shale/tight gas at El Mangrullo and Sierra Chata, plus a fast-ramping shale-oil project at Rincon de Aranda), a ~5 GW thermal and wind power generation fleet, a styrenics-led petrochemicals unit, and co-controlling stakes in the TGS gas-transmission and Transener power-transmission networks. FY2025 revenue rose ~7% to ~US$2.0bn with EBITDA around US$0.8bn (Pampa's headline adjusted EBITDA including affiliates is higher).

The equity story is upstream growth funded by cash from regulated/contracted power, but intrinsic value is spread across power, petrochemicals and midstream stakes rather than concentrated in reserves. Aggressive capex (~US$1bn in FY2025, led by Rincon de Aranda) has turned free cash flow negative and Pampa retains rather than distributes cash. Leverage is moderate (net debt ~US$0.8bn, D/E ~0.5x). The ADR trades on NYSE with local shares on BYMA; the stock re-rated sharply in 2024-25 on Argentine reform optimism and Vaca Muerta volume growth.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$5.0bn
Enterprise value
$5.8bn
EV / EBITDA
5.7x
P / E
13.2x
FCF yield
-4.3%
Dividend yield
0.0%
ROACE
9%
Debt / equity
52%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8x
EV / reserves
$19.46/boe
EV / flowing
$68k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$-0.2bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 5.7x is below the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of -4.3% is lower than the 6.5% median, and at $19.46/boe of proved reserves it is richer than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, Pampa Energia scores 35/100, strongest on growth (58/100). Sub-scores: value 33, quality 39, growth 58, risk 75 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

Pampa Energia holds approximately 0.3 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 84 thousand boe/d (19% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 9.6 years. Break-even: ~$40 (Vaca Muerta gas/oil breakeven) — Rincon de Aranda shale-oil half-cycle breakeven ~US$40/bbl; core Neuquen shale gas is cost-competitive at ~US$2.5-3/MMBtu under Plan Gas contracts

Net asset value (public-source)

For Pampa Energia, no SEC standardized measure is disclosed (non-US filer or listed NOC), so a public-source proved-NAV floor is not computable from US filings. See the interactive screener's NAV tab for peers where an SEC figure exists.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

80 /100
High jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Argentina100%80FX controls, export taxes, macro instability despite Vaca Muerta upside.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
Rincon de ArandaArgentinaShale oilFlagship Vaca Muerta shale-oil development ramping toward ~45 kbbl/d; main driver of upstream growth and capex
El MangrulloArgentinaShale/tight gasCore Neuquen gas block; large low-cost gas supplier under Plan Gas contracts
Sierra ChataArgentinaShale gasVaca Muerta gas block supplying Plan Gas volumes
Thermal power fleetArgentinaPower generation~5 GW of CCGT/thermal capacity (Genelba, CTLL, others) under PPAs and spot
Wind farms (PEPE I-VI)ArgentinaRenewables~450 MW of operating wind capacity supplying industrial customers and MATER market
Petrochemicals (styrenics)ArgentinaPetrochemicalsStyrene, SBR and polystyrene plants; leading Argentine styrenics producer
TGS (stake)ArgentinaGas midstream~29% indirect stake in Transportadora de Gas del Sur, key Vaca Muerta gas transport and liquids operator
Transener (stake)ArgentinaPower transmissionCo-control of Argentina's high-voltage electricity transmission grid operator

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)5560627284
Proved reserves (bnboe)0.280.300.310.330.30
Revenue ($bn)1.51.81.71.92.0
EBITDA ($bn)0.70.80.70.71.0
Net income ($bn)0.60.50.60.60.4
Free cash flow ($bn)0.50.2-0.2-0.0-0.2

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Peer companies — Integrated

SU · Suncor EnergyE · EniROSN · RosneftCVE · Cenovus EnergyIMO · Imperial OilLKOH · LukoilSIBN · Gazprom NeftGAZP · GazpromREP · RepsolOMV · OMVTATN · TatneftSNGS · SurgutneftegasGALP · Galp EnergiaORG · Origin Energy

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare PAM against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com