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Galp Energia (GALP · Euronext Lisbon)

Integrated — HQ Portugal. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category IntegratedRegion EuropeCEO Filipe Silva (2023)Jurisdiction risk Med (62)

Overview

Upstream centred on Brazil pre-salt (Bacalhau, Tupi, Berbigao/Sururu) plus the giant Namibia Mopane discovery under appraisal; Portuguese Sines refinery + Iberian retail + renewables/green hydrogen.

Strong balance sheet (net debt/EBITDA ~0.5x) supports a progressive dividend plus buybacks; the Mopane (PEL 83) farm-down process is the key optionality/catalyst. Flags: single-basin production concentration in Brazil, refining-margin cyclicality, Mozambique LNG timing, Namibia execution.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$15.1bn
Enterprise value
$18.8bn
EV / EBITDA
5.7x
P / E
12.5x
FCF yield
8.7%
Dividend yield
3.4%
ROACE
9%
Debt / equity
71%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
EV / reserves
$26.79/boe
EV / flowing
$169k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$1.3bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 5.7x is below the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of 8.7% is higher than the 6.5% median, and at $26.79/boe of proved reserves it is richer than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, Galp Energia scores 45/100, strongest on asset quality (53/100). Sub-scores: value 49, quality 53, growth 28, risk 64 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

Galp Energia holds approximately 0.7 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 111 thousand boe/d (86% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 17.3 years. Break-even: ~$35 (Brent break-even) — Pre-salt lifting cost ~$5-7/boe; portfolio cost of supply ~$25-30 Brent; corporate FCF breakeven incl. dividend ~$40-45.

Net asset value (public-source)

For Galp Energia, no SEC standardized measure is disclosed (non-US filer or listed NOC), so a public-source proved-NAV floor is not computable from US filings. See the interactive screener's NAV tab for peers where an SEC figure exists.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

62 /100
Medium jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Brazil85%61Complex tax/local-content rules; Petrobras policy swings, strong pre-salt.
Namibia8%55Hot Orange Basin play; nascent regime, local-content evolving.
Mozambique5%90Cabo Delgado insurgency delayed LNG; debt, security.
Angola2%76High debt, FX/repatriation risk, mature declining fields.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
Brazil pre-salt (Bacalhau, Tupi)BrazilDeepwater oilcore upstream
Mopane (PEL 83)NamibiaExploration/appraisallarge discovery, farm-down
Sines refineryPortugalDownstreamflagship refinery
Iberian retailPortugal/SpainMarketingfuels retail
Rovuma LNG (Area 4)MozambiqueLNGminority
Renewables / green H2PortugalPowerlow-carbon
Angola (Block 32)AngolaOffshore oildeepwater
Berbigao/SururuBrazilDeepwater oilpre-salt

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)126124117103111
Proved reserves (bnboe)1.000.950.920.880.70
Revenue ($bn)18.027.021.019.521.1
EBITDA ($bn)2.64.33.83.63.3
Net income ($bn)0.71.01.20.91.2
Free cash flow ($bn)0.81.51.21.01.3

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Peer companies — Integrated

SU · Suncor EnergyE · EniROSN · RosneftCVE · Cenovus EnergyIMO · Imperial OilLKOH · LukoilSIBN · Gazprom NeftGAZP · GazpromREP · RepsolOMV · OMVTATN · TatneftSNGS · SurgutneftegasORG · Origin EnergyMOL · MOL Group

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare GALP against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com