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Screening universe › Integrated › E

Eni (E · Borsa Italiana / NYSE)

Integrated — HQ Italy. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category IntegratedRegion EuropeCEO Claudio Descalzi (2014)Jurisdiction risk High (68)

Overview

Africa- and Mediterranean-focused integrated: E&P dominates earnings with Egypt's Zohr gas, Libyan production, Algeria, Angola/Congo, the fast-ramping Ivory Coast Baleine development, Mozambique/Congo LNG and Indonesian gas; runs a 'satellite' model housing upstream (Var Energi, Azule with bp) and transition units (Plenitude, Enilive) in separately capitalized vehicles.

Solid investment-grade balance sheet (net debt/EBITDA <1x); trades at a low ~4x EV/EBITDA typical of European majors, ~6-7% dividend yield plus buybacks; led by long-tenured CEO Claudio Descalzi (since 2014). Note the Italian state holds effectively ~30% via MEF and CDP.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$76.8bn
Enterprise value
$93.0bn
EV / EBITDA
4.1x
P / E
27.2x
FCF yield
6.6%
Dividend yield
3.2%
ROACE
9%
Debt / equity
69%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.7x
EV / reserves
$13.51/boe
EV / flowing
$54k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$5.1bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 4.1x is below the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of 6.6% is higher than the 6.5% median, and at $13.51/boe of proved reserves it is richer than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, Eni scores 39/100, strongest on valuation (45/100). Sub-scores: value 45, quality 34, growth 38, risk 62 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

Eni holds approximately 6.88 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 1,730 thousand boe/d (44% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 10.9 years. Break-even: ~$30/bbl (organic cash/FCF breakeven (Brent)) — Brent price at which operating cash flow covers organic capex plus the cash dividend; guided to a low-$30s/bbl level supported by satellite dividends and disposals.

Net asset value (public-source floor)

Using Eni's SEC-disclosed after-tax standardized measure of proved reserves ($46.0bn) less net debt ($16.3bn) gives an equity-NAV floor of about $29.7bn — the current market capitalisation sits +159% versus that floor. Disclosed pre-tax PV-10: —. This is a floor: proved reserves only, excluding undeveloped inventory, downstream and other business lines. Standardized measure covers proved E&P reserves only; omits Global Gas & LNG and Refining & Chemicals and the Plenitude/Enilive satellites.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

68 /100
High jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Egypt15%84FX shortages, arrears to IOCs, gas payment delays.
Libya15%98Civil conflict, blockades, split governance, force-majeure risk.
Norway12%3Stable, predictable; high but transparent 78% tax.
Angola12%76High debt, FX/repatriation risk, mature declining fields.
Other9%50diversified/unspecified exposure — universe-average proxy
Algeria8%71State-dominated Sonatrach; nationalist fiscal terms, contract renegotiation risk.
Congo8%86High debt, opaque governance, PSC arrears, mature fields.
Nigeria6%89Theft/sabotage, subsidy reform, PIA transition, security.
Ivory Coast5%69Emerging producer; improving terms, regional security spillover.
Indonesia5%51Gross-split PSCs, resource nationalism, declining oil output.
Kazakhstan5%64Export-route (CPC) dependence on Russia, contract disputes.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
ZohrEgyptGasGiant offshore Mediterranean gas field, in natural decline
BaleineIvory CoastOil/GasMajor recent discovery ramping in phases; low carbon intensity
Coral South FLNGMozambiqueLNGFloating LNG on Area 4; Coral North sanctioned to expand
Congo LNGCongoLNGFast-track FLNG monetizing associated gas
Var EnergiNorwayOil/GasListed satellite (~63%) anchoring North Sea/Barents production
Azule EnergyAngolaOil/Gas50/50 JV with bp, largest producer in Angola
PlenitudeItaly/EuropeRetail/RenewablesIntegrated retail, EV charging & renewables satellite
EniliveGlobalBiorefiningBiorefineries, SAF and mobility satellite

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)16801610166017101730
Proved reserves (bnboe)6.606.406.306.806.88
Revenue ($bn)82.0143.0101.088.088.7
EBITDA ($bn)18.026.020.017.022.7
Net income ($bn)6.315.05.23.02.8
Free cash flow ($bn)5.013.08.06.05.1

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Peer companies — Integrated

SU · Suncor EnergyROSN · RosneftCVE · Cenovus EnergyIMO · Imperial OilLKOH · LukoilSIBN · Gazprom NeftGAZP · GazpromREP · RepsolOMV · OMVTATN · TatneftSNGS · SurgutneftegasGALP · Galp EnergiaORG · Origin EnergyMOL · MOL Group

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

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Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com