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Birchcliff Energy Ltd. (BIR · TSX)

Gas-weighted — HQ Canada. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category Gas-weightedRegion N. AmericaCEO Christopher Carlsen (2020)Jurisdiction risk Low (8)

Overview

Intermediate Western Canadian producer and a near pure-play on the Montney/Doig resource fairway of Alberta's Peace River Arch, with a 91% working interest at Pouce Coupe, 75% at Gordondale and interests at Elmworth; ~79% natural gas / ~21% liquids weighting and company-owned Pouce Coupe gas processing that underpins low operating costs.

FY2025 delivered ~78 mboe/d, C$695.6M revenue, ~C$390M EBITDA, C$64.9M net income and C$99.9M free cash flow as gas prices recovered off 2024 lows; management prioritised debt reduction and reset the dividend to C$0.12/share (from C$0.40) to protect the balance sheet, holding ~0.48 bnboe proved (1P) reserves within a large 2P Montney inventory.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$1.3bn
Enterprise value
$1.7bn
EV / EBITDA
5.9x
P / E
27.0x
FCF yield
6.7%
Dividend yield
1.9%
ROACE
5%
Debt / equity
20%
Net debt / EBITDA
1.2x
EV / reserves
$2.87/boe
EV / flowing
$21k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$0.1bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 5.9x is above the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of 6.7% is higher than the 6.5% median, and at $2.87/boe of proved reserves it is cheaper than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, Birchcliff Energy Ltd. scores 50/100, strongest on safety (68/100). Sub-scores: value 49, quality 44, growth 27, risk 32 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

Birchcliff Energy Ltd. holds approximately 0.58 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 80 thousand boe/d (18% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 19.8 years. Break-even: ~$45 (corporate FCF breakeven) — Gas-weighted (~79% natural gas) cost structure gives a low corporate free-cash-flow breakeven; sustaining capital plus base dividend is roughly covered around a ~US$45/bbl WTI-equivalent / ~C$2/GJ AECO strip, with upside heavily levered to natural-gas and condensate prices.

Net asset value (public-source)

For Birchcliff Energy Ltd., no SEC standardized measure is disclosed (non-US filer or listed NOC), so a public-source proved-NAV floor is not computable from US filings. See the interactive screener's NAV tab for peers where an SEC figure exists.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

8 /100
Low jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Canada100%8Stable; pipeline egress constraints, oil-sands emissions policy.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
Pouce CoupeCanadaMontney gasFlagship 91% WI area NW of Grande Prairie; core Montney/Doig gas plus liquids, fed by owned Pouce Coupe gas plant
GordondaleCanadaMontney gas75% WI condensate- and liquids-rich Montney; higher-value liquids yields
ElmworthCanadaMontney gasDeep-basin Montney gas position west of Grande Prairie for future development
Charlie LakeCanadaLight oilLight-oil/condensate horizon across Pouce Coupe and Gordondale lands
Pouce Coupe Gas PlantCanadaInfrastructure100%-owned, operated sour-gas processing and infrastructure supporting low operating costs
Montney 2P inventoryCanadaMontney gasLarge multi-year drilling inventory underpinning ~0.48 bnboe 1P and a bigger 2P base (NI 51-101)
Condensate / NGLsCanadaLiquids~21% liquids weighting providing condensate uplift to gas-weighted netbacks

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)7880787680
Proved reserves (bnboe)0.450.470.480.480.58
Revenue ($bn)0.60.90.50.40.5
EBITDA ($bn)0.50.70.30.20.3
Net income ($bn)0.20.50.00.00.1
Free cash flow ($bn)0.20.40.0-0.10.1

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Peer companies — Gas-weighted

NVTK · NovatekEQT · EQT CorporationEXE · Expand EnergyTOU · Tourmaline OilARX · ARC ResourcesAR · Antero ResourcesRRC · Range ResourcesENEV3 · Eneva S.A.NWMD · NewMed EnergyCNX · CNX Resources CorporationCRK · Comstock Resources, Inc.PEY · Peyto Exploration & Development Corp.BKV · BKV CorporationGPOR · Gulfport Energy Corporation

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare BIR against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com