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ARC Resources (ARX · TSX)

Gas-weighted — HQ Canada. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category Gas-weightedRegion N. AmericaCEO Terry Anderson (2022)Jurisdiction risk Low (8)

Overview

Canada's premier Montney operator: Kakwa (core condensate-rich), Attachie (Phase I ~2025, major growth), Sunrise and Ante Creek/Greater Dawson; ~365 kboe/d of high-value condensate + gas with LNG Canada egress exposure.

Strong balance sheet, a base dividend plus buybacks and Attachie-led growth. Flags: condensate/gas price exposure.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$13.2bn
Enterprise value
$15.3bn
EV / EBITDA
6.3x
P / E
14.2x
FCF yield
7.1%
Dividend yield
2.4%
ROACE
12%
Debt / equity
35%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.9x
EV / reserves
$10.61/boe
EV / flowing
$41k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$0.9bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 6.3x is above the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of 7.1% is higher than the 6.5% median, and at $10.61/boe of proved reserves it is cheaper than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, ARC Resources scores 55/100, strongest on safety (72/100). Sub-scores: value 48, quality 54, growth 38, risk 28 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

ARC Resources holds approximately 1.44 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 374 thousand boe/d (41% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 10.6 years. Break-even: low (low-cost Montney) — Top-tier Montney condensate/gas; Attachie Phase I onstream ~2025; premium condensate pricing; low decline.

Net asset value (public-source)

For ARC Resources, no SEC standardized measure is disclosed (non-US filer or listed NOC), so a public-source proved-NAV floor is not computable from US filings. See the interactive screener's NAV tab for peers where an SEC figure exists.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

8 /100
Low jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Canada100%8Stable; pipeline egress constraints, oil-sands emissions policy.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
KakwaCanadaCondensate/gascore, condensate-rich Montney
AttachieCanadaCondensate/gasPhase I ~2025 major growth
SunriseCanadaGasdry gas
Ante Creek / Greater DawsonCanadaGas/liquidsMontney
LNG Canada egressCanadaGaspremium market access
Montney (NE BC)CanadaCondensate/gascore
Pembina/Kakwa infrastructureCanadaInfrastructureprocessing
Condensate marketingCanadaLiquidspremium diluent

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)344344338356374
Proved reserves (bnboe)1.001.051.101.151.44
Revenue ($bn)4.56.04.84.64.0
EBITDA ($bn)2.53.53.02.92.4
Net income ($bn)1.22.51.11.20.9
Free cash flow ($bn)0.81.80.91.00.9

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Peer companies — Gas-weighted

NVTK · NovatekEQT · EQT CorporationEXE · Expand EnergyTOU · Tourmaline OilAR · Antero ResourcesRRC · Range ResourcesENEV3 · Eneva S.A.NWMD · NewMed EnergyCNX · CNX Resources CorporationCRK · Comstock Resources, Inc.PEY · Peyto Exploration & Development Corp.BKV · BKV CorporationGPOR · Gulfport Energy CorporationENOG · Energean

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare ARX against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com