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Novatek (NVTK · Moscow)

Gas-weighted — HQ Russia. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category Gas-weightedRegion EuropeCEO Leonid Mikhelson (est.)Jurisdiction risk High (92)⚠ Sanctioned

Overview

Russia's largest independent gas and LNG producer; core Yamal LNG (16.5 mtpa) operational, flagship Arctic LNG 2 idled under US sanctions with offtake and shuttle-tanker logistics blocked. Very low leverage and low-cost Arctic resource, but Western sanctions make the equity and assets uninvestable for Western buyers.

Sanctioned; Arctic LNG 2 stalled; figures estimated.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$36.0bn
Enterprise value
$38.0bn
EV / EBITDA
4.0x
P / E
6.0x
FCF yield
11.1%
Dividend yield
9.0%
ROACE
16%
Debt / equity
18%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
EV / reserves
$2.30/boe
EV / flowing
$21k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$4.0bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 4.0x is below the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of 11.1% is higher than the 6.5% median, and at $2.30/boe of proved reserves it is cheaper than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, Novatek scores 57/100, strongest on valuation (85/100). Sub-scores: value 85, quality 68, growth 55, risk 93 (higher = riskier). Note: sanctioned / uninvestable for Western acquirers — shown for completeness only.

Reserves & production

Novatek holds approximately 16.5 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 1,800 thousand boe/d (15% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 25.1 years. Break-even: ~$3/MMBtu (LNG breakeven) — low-cost Arctic gas but sanctioned offtake/logistics

Net asset value (public-source)

For Novatek, no SEC standardized measure is disclosed (non-US filer or listed NOC), so a public-source proved-NAV floor is not computable from US filings. See the interactive screener's NAV tab for peers where an SEC figure exists.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

92 /100
High jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Russia100%92Sanctions, expropriation, export bans, war; effectively uninvestable.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
AssetCountryTypenote
Yamal LNG (50.1%)RussiaLNG16.5 mtpa, operational; core cash engine; offtake/logistics sanctions risk
Arctic LNG 2 (60%)RussiaLNG19.8 mtpa planned; US-sanctioned, offtake blocked, trains idled/stalled
Ob LNG (Obsky)RussiaLNG~5-6 mtpa planned; delayed under sanctions
Murmansk LNGRussiaLNG~20 mtpa proposed (pipeline-fed); early-stage, uncertain
Cryogas-VysotskRussiaLNGsmall-scale Baltic LNG plant, operational
Yurkharovskoye fieldRussiaGascore upstream gas-condensate field (Yamal-Nenets)
Termokarstovoye (JV)RussiaGasgas-condensate JV; domestic supply

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)16501740176017801800
Proved reserves (bnboe)16.4016.4016.6016.3016.50
Revenue ($bn)9.514.015.515.015.0
EBITDA ($bn)5.08.010.09.09.5
Net income ($bn)1.05.79.06.06.0
Free cash flow ($bn)3.05.06.04.04.0

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Peer companies — Gas-weighted

EQT · EQT CorporationEXE · Expand EnergyTOU · Tourmaline OilARX · ARC ResourcesAR · Antero ResourcesRRC · Range ResourcesENEV3 · Eneva S.A.NWMD · NewMed EnergyCNX · CNX Resources CorporationCRK · Comstock Resources, Inc.PEY · Peyto Exploration & Development Corp.BKV · BKV CorporationGPOR · Gulfport Energy CorporationENOG · Energean

Sources

Primary: Novatek FY2025 annual report / results release and investor disclosures; market data via public providers (~mid-2026). Figures are best-estimates pending source verification.

↗ Compare NVTK against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com