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Antero Resources (AR · NYSE)

Gas-weighted — HQ United States. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category Gas-weightedRegion N. AmericaCEO Paul Rady (Chairman/CEO)Jurisdiction risk Low (23)

Overview

Liquids-rich Appalachian gas producer with the largest NGL/LPG export exposure among US gas E&Ps (via Marcus Hook), giving premium realizations; ~3.4 Bcfe/d; owns a stake in Antero Midstream (AM) for integrated gathering/processing.

Deleveraged balance sheet with capital returns via buybacks; gas + propane price exposure is the swing factor. Flags: gas/NGL price sensitivity, Appalachian takeaway.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$10.9bn
Enterprise value
$12.1bn
EV / EBITDA
6.5x
P / E
17.3x
FCF yield
7.0%
Dividend yield
0.0%
ROACE
10%
Debt / equity
17%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6x
EV / reserves
$3.81/boe
EV / flowing
$21k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$0.8bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 6.5x is above the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of 7.0% is higher than the 6.5% median, and at $3.81/boe of proved reserves it is cheaper than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, Antero Resources scores 49/100, strongest on safety (67/100). Sub-scores: value 46, quality 46, growth 27, risk 33 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

Antero Resources holds approximately 3.18 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 567 thousand boe/d (37% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 15.4 years. Break-even: ~$2.50/MMBtu (Henry Hub gas breakeven) — Integrated liquids-rich Appalachian gas; NGL/LPG export premiums improve realizations; owns a stake in Antero Midstream.

Net asset value (public-source floor)

Using Antero Resources's SEC-disclosed after-tax standardized measure of proved reserves ($6.0bn) less net debt ($1.5bn) gives an equity-NAV floor of about $4.5bn — the current market capitalisation sits +142% versus that floor. Disclosed pre-tax PV-10: $7.5bn. This is a floor: proved reserves only, excluding undeveloped inventory, downstream and other business lines. Proved-only; excludes Antero Midstream equity value & undeveloped inventory.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

23 /100
Low jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
United States (Appalachia)100%23Stable, deep; federal-lands leasing and permitting policy swings.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
Marcellus (West Virginia)United StatesLiquids-rich gascore
Utica (Ohio)United StatesGasdry gas
NGL/LPG exports (Marcus Hook)United StatesNGL exportpremium propane realizations
Antero Midstream stakeUnited StatesMidstreamgathering/processing/water
Marcellus SW coreUnited StatesGascore
Water infrastructureUnited StatesInfrastructurewater
Condensate windowUnited StatesLiquidsliquids-rich
Firm transport to Gulf/LNGUnited StatesGastakeaway

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)590600615625567
Proved reserves (bnboe)2.602.702.802.903.18
Revenue ($bn)5.97.34.54.35.3
EBITDA ($bn)2.43.01.51.41.9
Net income ($bn)1.41.90.20.10.6
Free cash flow ($bn)0.41.00.30.50.8

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Peer companies — Gas-weighted

NVTK · NovatekEQT · EQT CorporationEXE · Expand EnergyTOU · Tourmaline OilARX · ARC ResourcesRRC · Range ResourcesENEV3 · Eneva S.A.NWMD · NewMed EnergyCNX · CNX Resources CorporationCRK · Comstock Resources, Inc.PEY · Peyto Exploration & Development Corp.BKV · BKV CorporationGPOR · Gulfport Energy CorporationENOG · Energean

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare AR against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com