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TXO Partners (TXO · NYSE)

Mid-cap E&P — HQ United States. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category Mid-cap E&PRegion N. AmericaCEO Gary Simpson (2023)Jurisdiction risk Low (23)

Overview

Upstream MLP (Bob Simpson-founded) targeting mature, low-decline conventional oil & gas — Permian (San Andres), Williston (Elm Coulee) and San Juan Basin — run for cash and high quarterly distributions.

Consolidation model buying long-life PDP; unit-holder returns via a large variable distribution. Flags: MLP structure, distribution variability, conventional decline management.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$0.7bn
Enterprise value
$1.0bn
EV / EBITDA
15.3x
P / E
n/m
FCF yield
-29.9%
Dividend yield
13.0%
ROACE
8%
Debt / equity
42%
Net debt / EBITDA
4.3x
EV / reserves
$7.83/boe
EV / flowing
$36k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$-0.2bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 15.3x is above the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of -29.9% is lower than the 6.5% median, and at $7.83/boe of proved reserves it is cheaper than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, TXO Partners scores 41/100, strongest on valuation (54/100). Sub-scores: value 54, quality 40, growth 18, risk 65 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

TXO Partners holds approximately 0.13 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 28 thousand boe/d (60% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 12.5 years. Break-even: ~$45 (WTI distribution breakeven) — Low-decline conventional assets support a high variable distribution around mid-$40s WTI.

Net asset value (public-source floor)

Using TXO Partners's SEC-disclosed after-tax standardized measure of proved reserves ($1.1bn) less net debt ($0.3bn) gives an equity-NAV floor of about $0.8bn — the current market capitalisation sits -15% versus that floor. Disclosed pre-tax PV-10: $1.2bn. This is a floor: proved reserves only, excluding undeveloped inventory, downstream and other business lines.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

23 /100
Low jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
United States100%23Stable, deep; federal-lands leasing and permitting policy swings.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
San Andres (Permian)United StatesOilConventional low-decline oil
Elm Coulee (Williston)United StatesOilBakken conventional
San Juan BasinUnited StatesGasLegacy gas
Waterflood programsUnited StatesOilSecondary recovery
AcquisitionsUnited StatesOil/GasOngoing PDP roll-up
Associated gas/NGLUnited StatesGasTakeaway

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)3035404428
Proved reserves (bnboe)0.140.160.180.190.13
Revenue ($bn)0.40.60.60.60.4
EBITDA ($bn)0.20.30.30.30.1
Net income ($bn)0.10.10.10.1-0.0
Free cash flow ($bn)0.10.10.10.1-0.2

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Peer companies — Mid-cap E&P

FANG · Diamondback EnergyPR · Permian ResourcesCHRD · Chord Energy CorporationMTDR · Matador Resources CompanyMGY · Magnolia Oil & Gas CorporationMUR · Murphy Oil CorporationTVE · Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.CRC · California Resources CorporationNVPT · Navitas PetroleumCRGY · Crescent EnergyBTE · Baytex Energy Corp.POU · Paramount Resources Ltd.TALO · Talos Energy Inc.ENRG · Energi Mega Persada

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare TXO against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com