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Paramount Resources Ltd. (POU · TSX)

Mid-cap E&P — HQ Canada. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category Mid-cap E&PRegion N. AmericaCEO James Riddell (2015)Jurisdiction risk Low (8)

Overview

Transformed in Jan 2025 by closing a ~C$3.3bn sale of its Grande Prairie assets (Karr, Wapiti, Zama) to Ovintiv and others, returning ~C$2.15bn via a C$15/share special distribution and moving to a net-cash position; now a focused liquids-rich Montney/Duvernay pure-play.

Remaining core is Willesden Green Duvernay (~26 mboe/d Q4'25), Kaybob Duvernay + Montney (~20 mboe/d) and the newly sanctioned Sinclair Montney (Q4'27 startup); 2026 guidance raised to 46-51 mboe/d (~50% liquids). Deep proved-plus-probable inventory (~522 mmboe, ~40yr RLI) makes it an attractive Montney consolidation target.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$2.9bn
Enterprise value
$2.4bn
EV / EBITDA
10.0x
P / E
3.1x
FCF yield
-9.7%
Dividend yield
2.2%
ROACE
9%
Debt / equity
1%
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.0x
EV / reserves
$12.05/boe
EV / flowing
$57k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$-0.3bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 10.0x is above the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of -9.7% is lower than the 6.5% median, and at $12.05/boe of proved reserves it is cheaper than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, Paramount Resources Ltd. scores 49/100, strongest on safety (84/100). Sub-scores: value 40, quality 45, growth 6, risk 16 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

Paramount Resources Ltd. holds approximately 0.2 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 42 thousand boe/d (48% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 13.0 years. Break-even: ~$45 (WTI FCF breakeven) — Liquids-rich Montney/Duvernay economics; ~48-53% liquids weighting supports sub-$50 WTI sustaining breakeven, though heavy 2025-27 growth capex (Sinclair Montney, Alhambra plant) pushes near-term free cash flow negative.

Net asset value (public-source)

For Paramount Resources Ltd., no SEC standardized measure is disclosed (non-US filer or listed NOC), so a public-source proved-NAV floor is not computable from US filings. See the interactive screener's NAV tab for peers where an SEC figure exists.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

8 /100
Low jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Canada100%8Stable; pipeline egress constraints, oil-sands emissions policy.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
Willesden Green DuvernayCanadaDuvernay oilCore liquids-rich play; ~26 mboe/d Q4'25; ~320k net acres
Kaybob DuvernayCanadaDuvernay~20 mboe/d Q4'25; ~110k net Duvernay acres
Kaybob MontneyCanadaMontney~180k net acres of liquids-rich Montney upside
Sinclair MontneyCanadaMontney (growth)Sanctioned Q4'25; ~140k acres; targeting Q4'27 startup
Alhambra PlantCanadaInfrastructurePhase 1 operational Jul 2025; owned processing capacity
Grande Prairie (Karr/Wapiti/Zama)CanadaDivestedSold to Ovintiv/others Jan 2025 for ~C$3.3bn
NuVista Energy stakeCanadaDivestedEquity investment monetized for ~C$519M in 2025

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)62919710442
Proved reserves (bnboe)0.330.360.380.350.20
Revenue ($bn)0.71.20.91.10.5
EBITDA ($bn)0.40.80.60.60.2
Net income ($bn)0.30.50.30.20.9
Free cash flow ($bn)0.10.30.0-0.1-0.3

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Peer companies — Mid-cap E&P

FANG · Diamondback EnergyPR · Permian ResourcesCHRD · Chord Energy CorporationMTDR · Matador Resources CompanyMGY · Magnolia Oil & Gas CorporationMUR · Murphy Oil CorporationTVE · Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.CRC · California Resources CorporationNVPT · Navitas PetroleumCRGY · Crescent EnergyBTE · Baytex Energy Corp.TALO · Talos Energy Inc.ENRG · Energi Mega PersadaNOG · Northern Oil & Gas

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare POU against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com