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Screening universe › NOC / state › 2222

Saudi Aramco (2222 · Tadawul)

NOC / state — HQ Saudi Arabia. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category NOC / stateRegion Middle EastCEO Amin Nasser (2015)Jurisdiction risk Med (40)

Overview

World's largest crude producer with giant low-cost fields (Ghawar, Safaniyah) and proved reserves ~255 bnboe; maintains ~3 mmbbl/d spare capacity, is ramping the giant Jafurah unconventional gas project, and holds a large integrated downstream/chemicals arm including ~70%-owned SABIC.

Dividend giant (~$85-90bn base plus a performance-linked payout that funds the Saudi budget), ~98% state-owned with a tiny ~2% float; output is set by OPEC+/Kingdom policy under CEO Amin Nasser. Trades at a premium to IOCs on scale, ultra-low-cost reserves and yield; earnings have fallen from the 2022 peak as oil normalized.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$1,750bn
Enterprise value
$1,768bn
EV / EBITDA
8.2x
P / E
18.7x
FCF yield
4.9%
Dividend yield
3.8%
ROACE
15%
Debt / equity
27%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1x
EV / reserves
$7.15/boe
EV / flowing
$137k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$85.4bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 8.2x is above the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of 4.9% is lower than the 6.5% median, and at $7.15/boe of proved reserves it is cheaper than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, Saudi Aramco scores 56/100, strongest on asset quality (78/100). Sub-scores: value 44, quality 78, growth 35, risk 45 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

Saudi Aramco holds approximately 247.2 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 12,891 thousand boe/d (86% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 52.5 years. Break-even: ~$3/bbl (upstream lifting cost (fiscal breakeven note)) — Aramco has the world's lowest upstream lifting cost (~$3/bbl); the Saudi FISCAL breakeven (state budget) is far higher (~$90+/bbl) but is sovereign, not corporate.

Net asset value (public-source)

For Saudi Aramco, no SEC standardized measure is disclosed (non-US filer or listed NOC), so a public-source proved-NAV floor is not computable from US filings. See the interactive screener's NAV tab for peers where an SEC figure exists.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

40 /100
Medium jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Saudi Arabia100%40Stable; Aramco/state control, no foreign upstream equity.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
GhawarSaudi ArabiaOnshore oilWorld's largest conventional oil field
SafaniyahSaudi ArabiaOffshore oilWorld's largest offshore field
JafurahSaudi ArabiaUnconventional gasGiant shale gas development, ramping this decade
Marjan/BerriSaudi ArabiaOffshore oil/gasMajor increment expansions
ZulufSaudi ArabiaOffshore oilLarge crude increment project
SABICSaudi Arabia/globalChemicals~70% owned petrochemicals giant
Refining JVs (S-Oil, Motiva, Fujian)Asia/USDownstreamGlobal refining/marketing footprint
Master Gas SystemSaudi ArabiaGas infrastructureNational gas network expansion

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)1230013600128001270012891
Proved reserves (bnboe)255.00251.00259.00260.00247.20
Revenue ($bn)410.0604.0495.0480.0446.0
EBITDA ($bn)189.0267.0210.0240.0215.0
Net income ($bn)110.0161.0121.0106.093.4
Free cash flow ($bn)107.0148.0101.085.085.4

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Peer companies — NOC / state

0857.HK · PetroChina0883.HK · CNOOCPBR · PetrobrasEQNR · Equinor0386.HK · SinopecPKN · OrlenONGC · ONGCEC · EcopetrolPTT · PTT PCLYPF · YPFOQEP · OQ Exploration & ProductionOIL · Oil India

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare 2222 against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com