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Equinor (EQNR · Oslo / NYSE)

NOC / state — HQ Norway. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category NOC / stateRegion EuropeCEO Anders Opedal (2020)Jurisdiction risk Low (15)

Overview

Assets dominated by the Norwegian Continental Shelf (Johan Sverdrup, Troll, Johan Castberg started 2025, Oseberg, Aasta Hansteen), plus Brazil (Bacalhau first oil 2025, Peregrino), US onshore gas & Gulf of Mexico, and a leading gas/LNG position supplying ~25-30% of Europe's gas.

Fortress balance sheet frequently in net-cash territory, a competitive dividend plus large buyback program, and 67% Norwegian state ownership; renewables ambitions materially scaled back in 2024-25 under CEO Anders Opedal (since 2020).

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$98.3bn
Enterprise value
$110bn
EV / EBITDA
2.9x
P / E
19.5x
FCF yield
5.0%
Dividend yield
3.0%
ROACE
15%
Debt / equity
77%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
EV / reserves
$21.27/boe
EV / flowing
$52k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$4.9bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 2.9x is below the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of 5.0% is lower than the 6.5% median, and at $21.27/boe of proved reserves it is richer than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, Equinor scores 45/100, strongest on safety (65/100). Sub-scores: value 41, quality 40, growth 31, risk 35 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

Equinor holds approximately 5.18 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 2,137 thousand boe/d (45% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 6.6 years. Break-even: ~$35/bbl (portfolio Brent breakeven) — NCS flagship Johan Sverdrup is among the world's lowest-cost fields (~$15-20/bbl); the group's next-decade project portfolio breaks even near ~$35/bbl Brent.

Net asset value (public-source floor)

Using Equinor's SEC-disclosed after-tax standardized measure of proved reserves ($33.1bn) less net debt ($11.9bn) gives an equity-NAV floor of about $21.2bn — the current market capitalisation sits +364% versus that floor. Disclosed pre-tax PV-10: —. This is a floor: proved reserves only, excluding undeveloped inventory, downstream and other business lines. Omits Marketing/Midstream & Processing (trading, LNG, pipelines) and Renewables; proved upstream reserves only.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

15 /100
Low jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Norway65%3Stable, predictable; high but transparent 78% tax.
United States12%23Stable, deep; federal-lands leasing and permitting policy swings.
Brazil10%61Complex tax/local-content rules; Petrobras policy swings, strong pre-salt.
Other7%50diversified/unspecified exposure — universe-average proxy
United Kingdom6%19Stable but EPL windfall tax raised North Sea fiscal burden.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
Johan SverdrupNorwayOil (NCS)Flagship low-cost field, ~755 kboe/d plateau, ~$15-20/bbl breakeven
TrollNorwayGas (NCS)Core long-life gas hub anchoring European supply
Johan CastbergNorwayOil (Barents Sea)First oil 2025, ~220 kboe/d plateau
BacalhauBrazilOil (pre-salt)Operated FPSO, first oil 2025, ~220 kboe/d
PeregrinoBrazilOil (Campos)Operated heavy-oil field, Phase 2 ramp-up
Empire WindUnited StatesOffshore windNY offshore wind; 2025 federal stop-work then restart; impairment overhang
AppalachiaUnited StatesGas (onshore)Marcellus/Utica dry gas position
RosebankUnited KingdomOil (West of Shetland)Large UK development, in execution

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)20602050208020702137
Proved reserves (bnboe)5.365.035.055.205.18
Revenue ($bn)89.0150.0107.0103.0106.5
EBITDA ($bn)45.095.055.045.037.8
Net income ($bn)8.628.711.98.85.0
Free cash flow ($bn)10.020.014.010.04.9

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Peer companies — NOC / state

2222 · Saudi Aramco0857.HK · PetroChina0883.HK · CNOOCPBR · Petrobras0386.HK · SinopecPKN · OrlenONGC · ONGCEC · EcopetrolPTT · PTT PCLYPF · YPFOQEP · OQ Exploration & ProductionOIL · Oil India

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare EQNR against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com