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Saturn Oil & Gas (SOIL · TSX)

Mid-cap E&P — HQ Canada. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category Mid-cap E&PRegion N. AmericaCEO John Jeffrey (2017)Jurisdiction risk Low (8)

Overview

Aggressive levered acquirer that scaled from ~7 mboe/d to ~42 mboe/d in four years via Oxbow (2021) and Ridgeback (2023) deals, now prioritizing debt repayment ($110M in 2025) and buybacks over a dividend.

FY2025 delivered record Q4 production of 43.7 mboe/d, C$983.7M sales, C$549M adjusted EBITDA and ~50% free-funds-flow yield; 82% oil/NGL weighting with low-decline waterflood assets underpins reserves of 144 mmboe 1P (PV10 ~US$1.6bn).

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$0.7bn
Enterprise value
$1.3bn
EV / EBITDA
3.2x
P / E
6.1x
FCF yield
22.0%
Dividend yield
0.0%
ROACE
13%
Debt / equity
80%
Net debt / EBITDA
1.4x
EV / reserves
$9.02/boe
EV / flowing
$31k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$0.2bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 3.2x is below the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of 22.0% is higher than the 6.5% median, and at $9.02/boe of proved reserves it is cheaper than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, Saturn Oil & Gas scores 64/100, strongest on growth (74/100). Sub-scores: value 71, quality 65, growth 74, risk 52 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

Saturn Oil & Gas holds approximately 0.14 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 42 thousand boe/d (82% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 9.5 years. Break-even: ~$45 (WTI FCF breakeven) — Low-decline waterflood base with ~$45/bbl WTI free-funds-flow breakeven; sub-$55 WTI still funds debt reduction plus buybacks.

Net asset value (public-source)

For Saturn Oil & Gas, no SEC standardized measure is disclosed (non-US filer or listed NOC), so a public-source proved-NAV floor is not computable from US filings. See the interactive screener's NAV tab for peers where an SEC figure exists.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

8 /100
Low jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Canada100%8Stable; pipeline egress constraints, oil-sands emissions policy.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
OxbowCanadaLight oil waterfloodSE Saskatchewan core; low-decline, high-netback foundation asset
Ridgeback (SE Sask.)CanadaLight oil2023 acquisition; largest production/reserve contributor
VikingCanadaLight oilWest-central Saskatchewan halo development, short-cycle drilling
BattrumCanadaHeavy oilWest-central Saskatchewan waterflood/polymer flood
Central AlbertaCanadaLight oil & liquidsCardium/Mannville light-oil and liquids-rich runway
West-Central Sask. waterfloodCanadaEOR / waterfloodEnhanced-recovery inventory extending low-decline base

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)712243842
Proved reserves (bnboe)28.0066.00130.00141.000.14
Revenue ($bn)0.10.30.50.60.7
EBITDA ($bn)0.00.20.30.30.4
Net income ($bn)0.00.10.10.10.1
Free cash flow ($bn)0.00.10.10.10.2

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Peer companies — Mid-cap E&P

FANG · Diamondback EnergyPR · Permian ResourcesCHRD · Chord Energy CorporationMTDR · Matador Resources CompanyMGY · Magnolia Oil & Gas CorporationMUR · Murphy Oil CorporationTVE · Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.CRC · California Resources CorporationNVPT · Navitas PetroleumCRGY · Crescent EnergyBTE · Baytex Energy Corp.POU · Paramount Resources Ltd.TALO · Talos Energy Inc.ENRG · Energi Mega Persada

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare SOIL against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com