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Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS · NYSE)

Mid-cap E&P — HQ United States. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category Mid-cap E&PRegion N. AmericaCEO Andrew G. Inglis (2014)Jurisdiction risk Med (62)

Overview

Deleveraging inflection story: FY2025 was a trough year (revenue -23% to ~$1.29bn, EBITDAX ~$0.54bn, a ~$0.70bn impairment-driven net loss, net debt ~$3.0bn and D/E ~5.5x). Management is pivoting to free cash flow in 2026 via ~15% production growth, ~20% cost cuts, lower capex, and portfolio pruning (Equatorial Guinea sold to Panoro for ~$127m upfront to pay down debt).

Offshore-focused mid-cap with three core hubs: Ghana Jubilee/TEN (the main cash engine), US deepwater Gulf of Mexico tie-backs, and the flagship BP-operated GTA/Tortue Phase 1 LNG project spanning Mauritania/Senegal now ramping. High leverage makes equity a levered call on Brent, LNG pricing and GTA execution.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$1.6bn
Enterprise value
$4.5bn
EV / EBITDA
8.4x
P / E
n/m
FCF yield
-11.5%
Dividend yield
0.0%
ROACE
-11%
Debt / equity
586%
Net debt / EBITDA
5.5x
EV / reserves
$18.23/boe
EV / flowing
$74k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$-0.2bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 8.4x is above the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of -11.5% is lower than the 6.5% median, and at $18.23/boe of proved reserves it is richer than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, Kosmos Energy Ltd. scores 25/100, strongest on asset quality (38/100). Sub-scores: value 17, quality 38, growth 24, risk 78 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

Kosmos Energy Ltd. holds approximately 0.25 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 61 thousand boe/d (73% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 11.1 years. Break-even: ~$45 (Brent FCF breakeven) — 2026 pivot to free cash flow: ~15% production growth and ~20% opex reduction targeted as GTA LNG ramps and capex falls, lowering the corporate Brent breakeven toward the mid-$40s.

Net asset value (public-source)

For Kosmos Energy Ltd., no SEC standardized measure is disclosed (non-US filer or listed NOC), so a public-source proved-NAV floor is not computable from US filings. See the interactive screener's NAV tab for peers where an SEC figure exists.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

62 /100
Medium jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Ghana50%782022 default/restructuring, fiscal fragility, offshore upside.
United States28%23Stable, deep; federal-lands leasing and permitting policy swings.
Mauritania/Senegal22%76Frontier gas (GTA); institutional capacity, cross-border split.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
JubileeGhanaOffshore oilCore producing asset (~38% WI); primary cash engine
TENGhanaOffshore oilTweneboa-Enyenra-Ntomme unit; infill/tie-back potential
GTA / Tortue Phase 1Mauritania/SenegalOffshore LNGFlagship BP-operated LNG; first gas 2025, ramping through 2026
Gulf of MexicoUnited StatesDeepwater oilPortfolio of producing deepwater tie-back hubs
WinterfellUnited StatesDeepwater oilGoM development/tie-back adding recent production
Ceiba / OkumeEquatorial GuineaOffshore oilDivested to Panoro; deal closed Jun-2026 (~$127m upfront)
Yakaar-TerangaSenegalGas discoveryLarge undeveloped gas resource; future LNG/domestic option

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)5460636461
Proved reserves (bnboe)0.280.270.250.250.25
Revenue ($bn)1.32.21.71.71.3
EBITDA ($bn)0.81.20.90.90.5
Net income ($bn)-0.10.20.20.2-0.7
Free cash flow ($bn)-0.10.3-0.2-0.3-0.2

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Peer companies — Mid-cap E&P

FANG · Diamondback EnergyPR · Permian ResourcesCHRD · Chord Energy CorporationMTDR · Matador Resources CompanyMGY · Magnolia Oil & Gas CorporationMUR · Murphy Oil CorporationTVE · Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.CRC · California Resources CorporationNVPT · Navitas PetroleumCRGY · Crescent EnergyBTE · Baytex Energy Corp.POU · Paramount Resources Ltd.TALO · Talos Energy Inc.ENRG · Energi Mega Persada

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare KOS against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com