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GeoPark (GPRK · NYSE)

Mid-cap E&P — HQ Colombia. Oil & gas valuation, proved reserves, production, break-even, net-asset-value and jurisdiction-risk screen.
Category Mid-cap E&PRegion Lat. AmericaCEO Andres Ocampo (2022)Jurisdiction risk High (69)

Overview

Latin American oil & gas producer anchored by the mature, low-cost Llanos 34 block (Colombia), diversifying into Argentina's Vaca Muerta shale and holding Ecuador/Brazil positions; disciplined returns (dividend + buybacks).

20-F filer with a self-funded model; the strategic question is replacing Llanos 34 decline with Vaca Muerta and M&A. Flags: Colombia/Argentina political-fiscal risk, reserve-life, asset concentration.

Valuation snapshot (FY2025)

Market cap
$0.6bn
Enterprise value
$1.1bn
EV / EBITDA
4.0x
P / E
12.9x
FCF yield
12.4%
Dividend yield
1.2%
ROACE
15%
Debt / equity
222%
Net debt / EBITDA
1.6x
EV / reserves
$15.94/boe
EV / flowing
$39k/boe/d
Free cash flow
$0.1bn

Its EV/EBITDA of 4.0x is below the 5.9x median across the 142-company universe, the free-cash-flow yield of 12.4% is higher than the 6.5% median, and at $15.94/boe of proved reserves it is richer than the $13.51/boe median.

On a balanced screen across the universe, GeoPark scores 45/100, strongest on asset quality (67/100). Sub-scores: value 55, quality 67, growth 6, risk 79 (higher = riskier).

Reserves & production

GeoPark holds approximately 0.07 billion boe of proved (1P) reserves with FY2025 production of about 28 thousand boe/d (98% liquids), a reserve life of roughly 6.7 years. Break-even: ~$40 (Brent FCF breakeven) — Low-cost Llanos 34 oil supports dividend + buyback near $40 Brent; Vaca Muerta is the growth pivot.

Net asset value (public-source)

For GeoPark, no SEC standardized measure is disclosed (non-US filer or listed NOC), so a public-source proved-NAV floor is not computable from US filings. See the interactive screener's NAV tab for peers where an SEC figure exists.

Jurisdiction risk · production-weighted country risk

69 /100
High jurisdiction risk
Production-weighted average of the country scores below (0 = safest, 100 = riskiest).
Country / regionProd. shareCountry riskKey jurisdiction risk
Colombia70%66New licensing ban stance, security in producing regions, fiscal reform.
Argentina15%80FX controls, export taxes, macro instability despite Vaca Muerta upside.
Ecuador10%81Referendum halted Yasuni, security crisis, contract instability.
Brazil5%61Complex tax/local-content rules; Petrobras policy swings, strong pre-salt.
How this is scored. Each country's risk (0–100) is anchored to two named public indices — the OECD Country Risk Classification (0–7 official export-credit country risk) and the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (Political Stability & Absence of Violence percentile) — blended 55/45 and rescaled to 0–100. A company's jurisdiction risk is the production-weighted average across the countries where it operates. This is a pure country measure, kept separate from company & financial risk (leverage, governance). Source: OECD Country Risk Classification (CRC) as of 24 July 2025, sourced via the German Federal Export Credit Guarantees (exportkreditgarantien.de) which applies the OECD consensus country risk category directly (values 0-7; 0 = lowest risk). High-income OECD members are not individually rated by the OECD and are set to crc=0 per the model spec (US, UK, Norway, Canada, Australia, Japan, NZ, and most of Europe incl. OECD members Israel, Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Ireland). 'ps' = World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 'Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism' percentile rank, latest available (2023 vintage), 0-100 with higher = more stable; ps values are best sourced estimates rounded to the WGI percentile scale. Yemen not on OECD list ('./.') so crc estimated at 7. Iraq-Kurdistan and Falklands are non-standard model rows using judgment, not official OECD entries..

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Key assets & projects

AssetLocationTypeNotes
Llanos 34ColombiaOilCore low-cost block (declining)
CPO-5 / other LlanosColombiaOilSecondary Colombian blocks
Vaca Muerta (Mata Mora)ArgentinaShale oilGrowth pivot
Neuquen conventionalArgentinaOil/gasProducing
Ecuador (Perico/Espejo)EcuadorOilProducing
Brazil (Manati/reconcavo)BrazilGasLegacy

Five-year trend (FY2021–FY2025)

Metric20212022202320242025
Production (mboe/d)4039373628
Proved reserves (bnboe)0.120.110.100.090.07
Revenue ($bn)0.70.80.70.70.5
EBITDA ($bn)0.40.50.40.40.3
Net income ($bn)0.10.10.10.10.1
Free cash flow ($bn)0.10.10.10.10.1

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Peer companies — Mid-cap E&P

FANG · Diamondback EnergyPR · Permian ResourcesCHRD · Chord Energy CorporationMTDR · Matador Resources CompanyMGY · Magnolia Oil & Gas CorporationMUR · Murphy Oil CorporationTVE · Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.CRC · California Resources CorporationNVPT · Navitas PetroleumCRGY · Crescent EnergyBTE · Baytex Energy Corp.POU · Paramount Resources Ltd.TALO · Talos Energy Inc.ENRG · Energi Mega Persada

Sources

✓ FY2025 figures verified against primary sources:

↗ Compare GPRK against 141 peers in the interactive screener

Disclaimer. Screening research only — a starting point, not investment or transactional advice. Figures are drawn from public sources (~mid-2026), may contain errors, and require independent due diligence before any decision.
Enerquill Advisory. Data compiled from company FY2025 filings and results releases; market data ~mid-2026. Larger names are verified against primary sources (shown on each page); smaller names are best-estimates pending verification. © Enerquill Advisory. enerquilladvisory.com